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Election 2026

2026 U.S. Midterm Elections

The single page tracking the November 3, 2026 federal midterms — 435 House seats, 33 Senate seats, 36 governorships, and key state-legislature majorities. All ratings and polling pulled from publicly reported sources.

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Senate Race Tracker

11 races
Senate Forecast · 35 seats up · projected 48 D / 51 R / 1 toss-up
Dem 48Rep 51Toss-up 1
Precision Politics
Alabama Senate seat · Safe RepublicanAlaska Senate seat · Lean DemocraticArizona · No Senate seat on the ballotColorado Senate seat · Safe DemocraticFlorida Senate seat · Likely RepublicanGeorgia Senate seat · Lean DemocraticIndiana · No Senate seat on the ballotKansas Senate seat · Safe RepublicanMaine Senate seat · Likely RepublicanMassachusetts Senate seat · Safe DemocraticMinnesota Senate seat · Likely DemocraticNew Jersey Senate seat · Safe DemocraticNorth Carolina Senate seat · Likely DemocraticNorth Dakota · No Senate seat on the ballotOklahoma Senate seat · Safe RepublicanPennsylvania · No Senate seat on the ballotSouth Dakota Senate seat · Safe RepublicanTexas Senate seat · Lean RepublicanWyoming Senate seat · Safe RepublicanConnecticut · No Senate seat on the ballotMissouri · No Senate seat on the ballotWest Virginia Senate seat · Safe RepublicanIllinois Senate seat · Safe DemocraticNew Mexico Senate seat · Safe DemocraticArkansas Senate seat · Safe RepublicanCalifornia · No Senate seat on the ballotDelaware Senate seat · Safe DemocraticDistrict of Columbia · No Senate seat on the ballotHawaii · No Senate seat on the ballotIowa Senate seat · Likely RepublicanKentucky Senate seat · Safe RepublicanMaryland · No Senate seat on the ballotMichigan Senate seat · Toss-upMississippi Senate seat · Safe RepublicanMontana Senate seat · Safe RepublicanNew Hampshire Senate seat · Safe DemocraticNew York · No Senate seat on the ballotOhio Senate seat · Lean RepublicanOregon Senate seat · Safe DemocraticTennessee Senate seat · Safe RepublicanUtah · No Senate seat on the ballotVirginia Senate seat · Safe DemocraticWashington · No Senate seat on the ballotWisconsin · No Senate seat on the ballotAmerican Samoa · No Senate seat on the ballotGuam · No Senate seat on the ballotCommonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands · No Senate seat on the ballotNebraska Senate seat · Likely RepublicanSouth Carolina Senate seat · Safe RepublicanPuerto Rico · No Senate seat on the ballotUnited States Virgin Islands · No Senate seat on the ballotIdaho Senate seat · Safe RepublicanNevada · No Senate seat on the ballotVermont · No Senate seat on the ballotLouisiana Senate seat · Safe RepublicanRhode Island Senate seat · Safe Democratic
Safe Democratic (10)Likely Democratic (2)Lean Democratic (2)Tilt Democratic (0)Toss-up (1)Tilt Republican (0)Lean Republican (2)Likely Republican (4)Safe Republican (14)Not on ballot

Georgia

GA Senate
Lean D
Margin: D+3

Incumbent: Jon Ossoff (D)

Primary: 2026-05-19

One of the most-watched Senate races of the cycle. Ossoff seeks his first re-election in a state Trump won in 2024.

North Carolina

NC Senate
Likely D
Margin: D+6

Incumbent: Thom Tillis (R)

Primary: 2026-03-03

Tillis won re-election narrowly in 2020. North Carolina is a perennial battleground.

Maine

ME Senate
Likely R
Margin: R+7

Incumbent: Susan Collins (R)

Primary: 2026-06-09

Collins has consistently outperformed her party in Maine. Strong personal brand.

Michigan

MI Senate
Toss-up

Incumbent: Gary Peters (D)Retiring

Primary: 2026-08-04

Open seat. Sen. Peters announced retirement. Verify incumbent-status changes before publishing.

New Hampshire

NH Senate
Safe D

Incumbent: Jeanne Shaheen (D)Retiring

Primary: 2026-09-08

Open seat. Sen. Shaheen announced retirement. Verify before publishing.

Minnesota

MN Senate
Likely D
Margin: D+5

Incumbent: Tina Smith (D)Retiring

Primary: 2026-08-11

Open seat. Sen. Smith announced retirement. Verify before publishing.

Kentucky

KY Senate
Safe R

Incumbent: Mitch McConnell (R)Retiring

Primary: 2026-05-19

Open seat. Sen. McConnell announced retirement. Strong R-leaning state — but national interest given the seat's profile.

Texas

TX Senate
Lean R
Margin: R+2

Incumbent: John Cornyn (R)

Primary: 2026-03-03

Cornyn faces potential primary competition. General-election ratings depend on the GOP nominee.

Ohio

OH Senate
Lean R
Margin: R+3

Incumbent: Jon Husted (R)

Primary: 2026-05-05

Husted was appointed to fill JD Vance's seat. First election for the appointed seat.

Iowa

IA Senate
Likely R

Incumbent: Joni Ernst (R)

Primary: 2026-06-02

Iowa has trended R in recent cycles; Ernst is favored but not in safe territory.

Alaska

AK Senate
Lean D
Margin: D+4

Incumbent: Dan Sullivan (R)

Primary: 2026-08-18

Democrat Mary Peltola favored. Alaska uses ranked-choice voting (top-four primary).

House Battleground Districts

0 districts
House Forecast · all 435 seats · projected 220 D / 215 R
Democrats 220218 for majority215 Republicans
Safe D 179Likely D 18Lean D 23Lean R 10Likely R 25Safe R 180
Precision Politics
Dem 220Rep 215

No House races have been added yet.

Gubernatorial Races

14 races
Governor Forecast Map · 36 states up · projected 23 D / 26 R / 1 toss-up
Alabama governorship · Safe RepublicanAlaska governorship · Lean RepublicanArizona governorship · Lean DemocraticColorado governorship · Safe DemocraticFlorida governorship · Likely RepublicanGeorgia governorship · Tilt RepublicanIndiana · No governorship on the ballotKansas governorship · Safe RepublicanMaine governorship · Safe DemocraticMassachusetts governorship · Safe DemocraticMinnesota governorship · Safe DemocraticNew Jersey · No governorship on the ballotNorth Carolina · No governorship on the ballotNorth Dakota · No governorship on the ballotOklahoma governorship · Safe RepublicanPennsylvania governorship · Likely DemocraticSouth Dakota governorship · Safe RepublicanTexas governorship · Likely RepublicanWyoming governorship · Safe RepublicanConnecticut governorship · Safe DemocraticMissouri · No governorship on the ballotWest Virginia · No governorship on the ballotIllinois governorship · Safe DemocraticNew Mexico governorship · Safe DemocraticArkansas governorship · Safe RepublicanCalifornia governorship · Safe DemocraticDelaware · No governorship on the ballotDistrict of Columbia · No governorship on the ballotHawaii governorship · Safe DemocraticIowa governorship · Toss-upKentucky · No governorship on the ballotMaryland governorship · Safe DemocraticMichigan governorship · Likely DemocraticMississippi · No governorship on the ballotMontana · No governorship on the ballotNew Hampshire governorship · Likely RepublicanNew York governorship · Safe DemocraticOhio governorship · Lean RepublicanOregon governorship · Lean DemocraticTennessee governorship · Safe RepublicanUtah · No governorship on the ballotVirginia · No governorship on the ballotWashington · No governorship on the ballotWisconsin governorship · Tilt DemocraticAmerican Samoa · No governorship on the ballotGuam · No governorship on the ballotCommonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands · No governorship on the ballotNebraska governorship · Safe RepublicanSouth Carolina governorship · Safe RepublicanPuerto Rico · No governorship on the ballotUnited States Virgin Islands · No governorship on the ballotIdaho governorship · Safe RepublicanNevada governorship · Lean RepublicanVermont governorship · Safe RepublicanLouisiana · No governorship on the ballotRhode Island governorship · Safe Democratic
Safe Democratic (12)Likely Democratic (2)Lean Democratic (2)Tilt Democratic (1)Toss-up (1)Tilt Republican (1)Lean Republican (3)Likely Republican (3)Safe Republican (11)Not on ballot

Georgia

GA Governor
Tilt R
Margin: R+1

Brian Kemp (R)Retiring

Primary: 2026-05-19

Open seat — Kemp term-limited. High-stakes race in a perennial swing state.

Florida

FL Governor
Likely R

Ron DeSantis (R)Retiring

Primary: 2026-08-18

Open seat — DeSantis term-limited.

Ohio

OH Governor
Lean R
Margin: R+2

Mike DeWine (R)Retiring

Primary: 2026-05-05

Open seat — DeWine term-limited.

Pennsylvania

PA Governor
Likely D

Josh Shapiro (D)

Primary: 2026-05-19

Shapiro is widely seen as a strong incumbent.

Michigan

MI Governor
Likely D

Gretchen Whitmer (D)Retiring

Primary: 2026-08-04

Open seat — Whitmer term-limited.

Arizona

AZ Governor
Lean D
Margin: D+2

Katie Hobbs (D)

Primary: 2026-08-04

Hobbs seeks first re-election after narrow 2022 win.

Nevada

NV Governor
Lean R
Margin: R+2

Joe Lombardo (R)

Primary: 2026-06-09

Lombardo is the only R governor in a state Harris won in 2024.

Wisconsin

WI Governor
Tilt D
Margin: D+1

Mandela Barnes (D)

Primary: 2026-08-11

Open seat — Gov. Tony Evers retiring. Democrat Mandela Barnes favored.

Minnesota

MN Governor
Safe D

Amy Klobuchar (D)

Primary: 2026-08-11

Amy Klobuchar (D) running in place of Gov. Tim Walz.

Kansas

KS Governor
Safe R

Laura Kelly (D)Retiring

Primary: 2026-08-04

Open seat — Kelly term-limited.

New Hampshire

NH Governor
Likely R

Kelly Ayotte (R)

Primary: 2026-09-08

Ayotte seeks first re-election.

Maine

ME Governor
Safe D

Janet Mills (D)Retiring

Primary: 2026-06-09

Open seat — Mills term-limited.

Iowa

IA Governor
Toss-up

Kim Reynolds (R)Retiring

Primary: 2026-06-02

Open seat — Reynolds term-limited per state custom.

Alaska

AK Governor
Lean R
Margin: R+5

Mike Dunleavy (R)Retiring

Primary: 2026-08-18

Open seat — Dunleavy term-limited after two consecutive terms.

Key Dates

  1. General Election Day

    All 435 U.S. House seats, 33 Senate seats, and 36 governorships on the ballot.

  2. Michigan, Arizona, Kansas primaries
  3. Minnesota & Wisconsin primaries
  4. Alaska & Florida primaries
  5. New Hampshire primary — last of the cycle
Past dates (5)
  1. 2026-03-03 · Texas & North Carolina primaries
  2. 2026-05-05 · Ohio primary
  3. 2026-05-19 · Georgia, Pennsylvania & Kentucky primaries
  4. 2026-06-02 · Iowa primary
  5. 2026-06-09 · Maine & Nevada primaries

Voter Resources

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