Live Data Dashboard
A single view of the numbers that drive U.S. politics: economic indicators direct from government statistical agencies, presidential approval polling, and real-money prediction markets for upcoming elections. Everything here is sourced from public data and updated continuously.
Presidential Approval
Donald J. TrumpNational Sentiment
Polling averagesDirection of the Country
Right Direction
27%
Wrong Track
65%
Net
-38
as of May 12, 2026 · RealClearPolitics polling average
Congressional Approval
Approve
19%
Disapprove
72%
Net
-53
as of May 10, 2026 · RealClearPolitics polling average
Supreme Court Approval
Approve
41%
Disapprove
54%
Net
-13
as of May 8, 2026 · Gallup / RealClearPolitics average
Polling averages compiled from publicly reported surveys (Gallup, Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, Economist/YouGov, NBC, Rasmussen, etc.) as aggregated by RealClearPolitics. Updated weekly via the admin console.
Economic Indicators
Live · Government dataElection & Politics Markets
Live · PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Gavin Newsom24%
- Kamala Harris9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9%
- Jon Ossoff6%
- Josh Shapiro5%
Polymarket · $1143.1M volView →
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance36%
- Marco Rubio25%
- Tucker Carlson7%
- Ron DeSantis4%
Polymarket · $618.1M volView →
Presidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance19%
- Gavin Newsom17%
- Marco Rubio14%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez5%
- Kamala Harris5%
Polymarket · $582.3M volView →
Netanyahu out by...?
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?44%
- Netanyahu out by June 30?5%
- Netanyahu out by May 31?1%
Polymarket · $120.4M volView →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?67%
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?47%
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?33%
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?17%
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?12%
Polymarket · $116.4M volView →
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?63%
- Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?22%
- María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?9%
- Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?1%
- Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?1%
Polymarket · $88.0M volView →
Brazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva45%
- Flávio Bolsonaro28%
- Renan Santos9%
- Romeu Zema7%
- Michelle Bolsonaro3%
Polymarket · $77.2M volView →
Next French Presidential Election
- Jordan Bardella24%
- Édouard Philippe20%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%
- Marine Le Pen6%
- David Lisnard5%
Polymarket · $71.7M volView →
Prices reflect real-money trading on Polymarket and shift continuously. Not a forecast or endorsement; shown for informational reference alongside the news.
Methodology
- Economic indicators — Real GDP growth (annualized), unemployment rate, CPI year-over-year, the effective federal funds rate, and the 10-year Treasury yield are pulled from the Federal Reserve’s FRED database, which itself sources from BEA, BLS, and the Federal Reserve. National debt is pulled from the U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data API. Refreshed every 6 hours.
- Presidential, Congressional, and Supreme Court approval; country direction — Polling averages compiled from publicly reported surveys (Gallup, Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, Economist/YouGov, NBC, Rasmussen, etc.) as aggregated by RealClearPolitics. Linked back to the source. Updated weekly.
- Prediction markets — Live probabilities from Polymarket, where participants trade contracts on political outcomes with real money. Probabilities reflect market consensus, not editorial endorsement. Refreshed every 15 minutes.